The end of the war in Ukraine will impact Poland. Two possible scenarios

• We can expect women to return to Ukraine, which would particularly affect the Polish hotel and catering industry, trade, logistics and care services.
• The reconstruction of Ukraine could drain the Polish market of Ukrainian men working here, especially construction workers and drivers.
• Another scenario is also possible. It assumes a new wave of migration of men from Ukraine seeking better living conditions.

US President Donald Trump and Russian leader Vladimir Putin are scheduled to meet in Alaska on Friday, August 15. This will be their first meeting since the beginning of Trump's second term in the White House.

We will have a meeting with Vladimir Putin and after it is over, probably within the first two minutes, I will know exactly whether an agreement will be reached.

- said Donald Trump.

I am expecting a meeting with Putin, which I think will be good, but it could also turn out to be bad.

- Trump concluded.

The president added that a meeting between Putin and Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky will also be necessary.

Ultimately, I'll put them both in the same room. I'll either be there or I won't, and I think the matter will be resolved.

- says Donald Trump.

The end of the war may lead to the departure of Ukrainian women , affecting, among others, the care, hotel and catering businesses, but also to the influx of masses of demobilized men.

- "Rzeczpospolita" notes.

An increased wave of Ukrainian workers leaving the country would be a disaster for many industries.

- says Kamil Sobolewski, chief economist of Employers of Poland.

In his opinion, if the peace agreement permanently curbs the Kremlin's appetites , we can expect women to return to Ukraine, which would particularly affect the Polish hotel and catering industry , trade, logistics and care services.

However, a full-scale reconstruction of Ukraine could also drain our market of Ukrainian men working here, especially construction workers and drivers.

- says.

Polish companies involved in the reconstruction would also send domestic experts and specialists to the East.

- Sobolewski notes.

According to the next thesis, another scenario is also possible.

It assumes a new wave of migration of men from Ukraine looking for better living conditions.

- indicated in the article.

"Rz" assesses that fears about the consequences of the outflow of Ukrainians from the Polish labor market are not unfounded .

Nearly 788,000 women and men with Ukrainian passports were registered with the Social Insurance Institution (ZUS) at the end of 2024. This is over a quarter more than at the end of 2021.

Although they still most often work in industry and construction, during this time , the number of Ukrainian salespeople and cashiers in stores has increased by almost 60 percent (their employment in retail now exceeds 73,000) , and the number of Ukrainian employees in HoReCa (hotels and restaurants) has increased by almost 70 percent. The number of Ukrainian specialists working in Poland has also increased significantly, as seen in IT, education, finance, and healthcare, among other sectors.

Andrzej Kubisiak, deputy director of the Polish Economic Institute, points out that, according to NBP research from the end of last year , only 21% of refugees plan to settle in Poland permanently.